Victorian State Voting Intention: L-NP Coalition and One Nation set for a majority in Victoria’s Upper House in November - Roy Morgan Research

The L-NP Coalition is set to win 11 seats in Victoria’s Upper House, just ahead of One Nation (10 seats) and the ALP (nine seats). Three seats are set to be won by the Greens (two seats) and Other Parties (one seat) with seven seats still undecided according to a special SMS Roy Morgan Poll conducted from August 5-7, 2026, with a representative Victoria-wide cross-section of 2,084 electors.